I spent last week in the capital, and what most surprised me was the level of disappointment with the administration and Congress among well-connected Republicans I know there. It's not a hatred for Bush, or anything like that. But things aren't getting done, PR is being handled poorly, the media is setting the agenda, and the only reason the GOP isn't being trounced in polls is the utter incompetence of the opposition.
In this environment, an independent candidate could do very, very well. John McCain, call your office.
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