"If it's 99 percent accurate, that's going to be seven false positives," the Red Sox third baseman said Thursday before the annual dinner of the Boston chapter of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. "Ninety-three percent is 70 guys. That's almost three whole rosters.Put in those terms, blood testing is a very hard sell. But how else can MLB really stop the cheating?
Friday, January 18, 2008
Most Valuable Statistician
Mike Lowell expresses Bayes Rule in a comprehensible form:
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http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=the-travelers--dilemma&page=3
Chew on that for a bit.
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